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Statistics, Machine Learning papers, 2025-05-01 to 2025-10-31

Every paper in the arxiv corpus whose primary field is the arXiv category stat.ML, submitted inside this window. An impact prediction on exactory states a citation rank against this population.

Corpus
arxiv
Papers
1,192
Collected
31 Aug 2026

Papers

  1. Non-asymptotic error bounds for probability flow ODEs under weak log-concavity2510.17608 · 20 Oct 2025
  2. Arbitrated Indirect Treatment Comparisons2510.18071 · 20 Oct 2025
  3. Certified Self-Consistency: Statistical Guarantees and Test-Time Training for Reliable Reasoning in LLMs2510.17472 · 20 Oct 2025
  4. Generalization Below the Edge of Stability: The Role of Data Geometry2510.18120 · 20 Oct 2025
  5. Optimal Best Arm Identification under Differential Privacy2510.17348 · 20 Oct 2025
  6. DFNN: A Deep Fréchet Neural Network Framework for Learning Metric-Space-Valued Responses2510.17072 · 20 Oct 2025
  7. Interval Prediction of Annual Average Daily Traffic on Local Roads via Quantile Random Forest with High-Dimensional Spatial Data2510.18548 · 21 Oct 2025
  8. The Bias-Variance Tradeoff in Data-Driven Optimization: A Local Misspecification Perspective2510.18215 · 21 Oct 2025
  9. Parametrising the Inhomogeneity Inducing Capacity of a Training Set, and its Impact on Supervised Learning2510.18332 · 21 Oct 2025
  10. Learning under Quantization for High-Dimensional Linear Regression2510.18259 · 21 Oct 2025
  11. A Frequentist Statistical Introduction to Variational Inference, Autoencoders, and Diffusion Models2510.18777 · 21 Oct 2025
  12. Calibrated Principal Component Regression2510.19020 · 21 Oct 2025
  13. Signature Kernel Scoring Rule: A Spatio-Temporal Diagnostic for Probabilistic Weather Forecasting2510.19110 · 21 Oct 2025
  14. A Derandomization Framework for Structure Discovery: Applications in Neural Networks and Beyond2510.19382 · 22 Oct 2025
  15. Learning Upper Lower Value Envelopes to Shape Online RL: A Principled Approach2510.19528 · 22 Oct 2025
  16. Extreme Event Aware ($η$-) Learning2510.19161 · 22 Oct 2025
  17. Topology of Currencies: Persistent Homology for FX Co-movements: A Comparative Clustering Study2510.19306 · 22 Oct 2025
  18. Survival of the fittest Cox model: Pivotal variable selection for time-to-event data2510.19374 · 22 Oct 2025
  19. Metadata Extraction Leveraging Large Language Models2510.19334 · 22 Oct 2025
  20. On the Hardness of Reinforcement Learning with Transition Look-Ahead2510.19372 · 22 Oct 2025
  21. Enhanced Cyclic Coordinate Descent Methods for Elastic Net Penalized Linear Models2510.19999 · 22 Oct 2025
  22. Kernel Learning with Adversarial Features: Numerical Efficiency and Adaptive Regularization2510.20883 · 23 Oct 2025
  23. Testing Most Influential Sets2510.20372 · 23 Oct 2025
  24. Compositional Generation for Long-Horizon Coupled PDEs2510.20141 · 23 Oct 2025
  25. Finding the Sweet Spot: Trading Quality, Cost, and Speed During Inference-Time LLM Reflection2510.20653 · 23 Oct 2025
  26. Neural Networks for Censored Expectile Regression Based on Data Augmentation2510.20344 · 23 Oct 2025
  27. A Spectral Framework for Graph Neural Operators: Convergence Guarantees and Tradeoffs2510.20954 · 23 Oct 2025
  28. Concentration and excess risk bounds for imbalanced classification with synthetic oversampling2510.20472 · 23 Oct 2025
  29. Learning Decentralized Routing Policies via Graph Attention-based Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning in Lunar Delay-Tolerant Networks2510.20436 · 23 Oct 2025
  30. Diffusion Autoencoders with Perceivers for Long, Irregular and Multimodal Astronomical Sequences2510.20595 · 23 Oct 2025
  31. Exponential Convergence Guarantees for Iterative Markovian Fitting2510.20871 · 23 Oct 2025
  32. Deep Ensembles for Epistemic Uncertainty: A Frequentist Perspective2510.22063 · 24 Oct 2025
  33. Fisher meets Feynman: score-based variational inference with a product of experts2510.21598 · 24 Oct 2025
  34. Differentially Private High-dimensional Variable Selection via Integer Programming2510.22062 · 24 Oct 2025
  35. HollowFlow: Efficient Sample Likelihood Evaluation using Hollow Message Passing2510.21542 · 24 Oct 2025
  36. Oracle-Efficient Combinatorial Semi-Bandits2510.21431 · 24 Oct 2025
  37. Enforcing Calibration in Multi-Output Probabilistic Regression with Pre-rank Regularization2510.21273 · 24 Oct 2025
  38. Input Adaptive Bayesian Model Averaging2510.22054 · 24 Oct 2025
  39. Bridging Prediction and Attribution: Identifying Forward and Backward Causal Influence Ranges Using Assimilative Causal Inference2510.21889 · 24 Oct 2025
  40. Doubly-Regressing Approach for Subgroup Fairness2510.21091 · 24 Oct 2025
  41. Multimodal Datasets with Controllable Mutual Information2510.21686 · 24 Oct 2025
  42. A PyTorch Framework for Scalable Non-Crossing Quantile Regression2510.22419 · 25 Oct 2025
  43. MetaCaDI: A Meta-Learning Framework for Causal Discovery from Multiple Environments with Unknown Interventions2510.22298 · 25 Oct 2025
  44. MMbeddings: Parameter-Efficient, Low-Overfitting Probabilistic Embeddings Inspired by Nonlinear Mixed Models2510.22198 · 25 Oct 2025
  45. Statistical Analysis of the Sinkhorn Iterations for Two-Sample Schrödinger Bridge Estimation2510.22560 · 26 Oct 2025
  46. Block Coordinate Descent for Neural Networks Provably Finds Global Minima2510.22667 · 26 Oct 2025
  47. Beyond Normality: Reliable A/B Testing with Non-Gaussian Data2510.23666 · 26 Oct 2025
  48. OEUVRE: OnlinE Unbiased Variance-Reduced loss Estimation2510.22744 · 26 Oct 2025
  49. Semi-Supervised Learning under General Causal Models2510.22567 · 26 Oct 2025
  50. Complexity Dependent Error Rates for Physics-informed Statistical Learning via the Small-ball Method2510.23149 · 27 Oct 2025
  51. Rate-optimal Design for Anytime Best Arm Identification2510.23199 · 27 Oct 2025
  52. Understanding Fairness and Prediction Error through Subspace Decomposition and Influence Analysis2510.23935 · 27 Oct 2025
  53. Minimizing Human Intervention in Online Classification2510.23557 · 27 Oct 2025
  54. Tighter CMI-Based Generalization Bounds via Stochastic Projection and Quantization2510.23485 · 27 Oct 2025
  55. Coupled Flow Matching2510.23015 · 27 Oct 2025
  56. Friction on Demand: A Generative Framework for the Inverse Design of Metainterfaces2511.03735 · 27 Oct 2025
  57. VIKING: Deep variational inference with stochastic projections2510.23684 · 27 Oct 2025
  58. Robust Decision Making with Partially Calibrated Forecasts2510.23471 · 27 Oct 2025
  59. Bayesian neural networks with interpretable priors from Mercer kernels2510.23745 · 27 Oct 2025
  60. Optimal In-context Adaptivity and Distributional Robustness of Transformers2510.23254 · 27 Oct 2025
  61. Comparison of generalised additive models and neural networks in applications: A systematic review2510.24601 · 28 Oct 2025
  62. Self-Concordant Perturbations for Linear Bandits2510.24187 · 28 Oct 2025
  63. Copula-Stein Discrepancy: A Generator-Based Stein Operator for Archimedean Dependence2510.24056 · 28 Oct 2025
  64. Score-based constrained generative modeling via Langevin diffusions with boundary conditions2510.23985 · 28 Oct 2025
  65. Statistical physics of deep learning: Optimal learning of a multi-layer perceptron near interpolation2510.24616 · 28 Oct 2025
  66. Tree Ensemble Explainability through the Hoeffding Functional Decomposition and TreeHFD Algorithm2510.24815 · 28 Oct 2025
  67. Using latent representations to link disjoint longitudinal data for mixed-effects regression2510.25531 · 29 Oct 2025
  68. Multimodal Bandits: Regret Lower Bounds and Optimal Algorithms2510.25811 · 29 Oct 2025
  69. How Data Mixing Shapes In-Context Learning: Asymptotic Equivalence for Transformers with MLPs2510.25753 · 29 Oct 2025
  70. E-Scores for (In)Correctness Assessment of Generative Model Outputs2510.25770 · 29 Oct 2025
  71. Error Bounds and Optimal Schedules for Masked Diffusions with Factorized Approximations2510.25544 · 29 Oct 2025
  72. Generative Bayesian Optimization: Generative Models as Acquisition Functions2510.25240 · 29 Oct 2025
  73. Monitoring the calibration of probability forecasts with an application to concept drift detection involving image classification2510.25573 · 29 Oct 2025
  74. Convergence of off-policy TD(0) with linear function approximation for reversible Markov chains2510.25514 · 29 Oct 2025
  75. Conformal Prediction Beyond the Horizon: Distribution-Free Inference for Policy Evaluation2510.26026 · 29 Oct 2025
  76. Assessment of the conditional exchangeability assumption in causal machine learning models: a simulation study2510.26700 · 30 Oct 2025
  77. Multi-Output Robust and Conjugate Gaussian Processes2510.26401 · 30 Oct 2025
  78. Bridging the Gap between Empirical Welfare Maximization and Conditional Average Treatment Effect Estimation in Policy Learning2510.26723 · 30 Oct 2025
  79. Uncertainty-Aware Diagnostics for Physics-Informed Machine Learning2510.26121 · 30 Oct 2025
  80. Bias-Corrected Data Synthesis for Imbalanced Learning2510.26046 · 30 Oct 2025
  81. Data-driven Projection Generation for Efficiently Solving Heterogeneous Quadratic Programming Problems2510.26061 · 30 Oct 2025
  82. Overspecified Mixture Discriminant Analysis: Exponential Convergence, Statistical Guarantees, and Remote Sensing Applications2510.27056 · 30 Oct 2025
  83. Action-Driven Processes for Continuous-Time Control2510.26672 · 30 Oct 2025
  84. A Unified Theory for Causal Inference: Direct Debiased Machine Learning via Bregman-Riesz Regression2510.26783 · 30 Oct 2025
  85. $L_1$-norm Regularized Indefinite Kernel Logistic Regression2510.26043 · 30 Oct 2025
  86. Gradient Boosted Mixed Models: Flexible Estimation of Mean and Variance Components for Clustered Data2511.00217 · 31 Oct 2025
  87. Interpretable Model-Aware Counterfactual Explanations for Random Forest2510.27397 · 31 Oct 2025
  88. Decreasing Entropic Regularization Averaged Gradient for Semi-Discrete Optimal Transport2510.27340 · 31 Oct 2025
  89. On the Equivalence of Optimal Transport Problem and Action Matching with Optimal Vector Fields2510.27385 · 31 Oct 2025
  90. Bayesian Optimization on Networks2510.27643 · 31 Oct 2025
  91. Minimax-Optimal Two-Sample Test with Sliced Wasserstein2510.27498 · 31 Oct 2025
  92. Optimal Convergence Analysis of DDPM for General Distributions2510.27562 · 31 Oct 2025